Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Railroad Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flagstaff

Tract 04005001103 · Coconino, AZ · pop 4,921 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 04005001103 in the Railroad Springs area of Flagstaff, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,921. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 42% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,946

Renter share61.4%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate16.4%

Median income$69,412

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region

Centroid at 35.1921, -111.6794 · click any tract to drill in

Why Railroad Springs scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Flagstaff

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

16.4% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$1,380 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Flagstaff

3.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Flagstaff

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Flagstaff

5.5

How Railroad Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
11.0%SNAP enrollment
10.8%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
26.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Railroad Springs

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Coconino County average of 40.0%.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,380 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Coconino County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,412.

61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04005001103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005001103?

Census tract 04005001103 in the Railroad Springs neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04005001103?

Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04005001103?

16.4% of residents in tract 04005001103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,921.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04005001103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 6th, minority 64th, housing 82th.

Is tract 04005001103 considered part of Railroad Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005001103 fall within Railroad Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04005001103 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04005001103 compare to Flagstaff overall?

Tract 04005001103 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff

Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.