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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Railroad Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,921 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Railroad Springs is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ, population 4,921. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, Moderate tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

32% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

At $1,380 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10. That places it #8 of 17 neighborhoods in Flagstaff.

For a like-for-like read, Flagstaff Industrial Park and West Ridge score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,412.

61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Railroad Springs vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.7% -8%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,380 -16%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$69,412 +2%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
16.4% -15%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
61.4% +6%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Railroad Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Railroad Springs scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
16.4% below poverty line · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Railroad Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Railroad Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Railroad Springs: 4.44.4Railroad SpringsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Railroad Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04005001103 4.4 4,921 32% $1,380
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Railroad Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Railroad Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Railroad Springs?

Railroad Springs scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Railroad Springs compare to Flagstaff overall?

Railroad Springs scores 0.1 points lower than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,380 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Railroad Springs?

Average gross rent in Railroad Springs is $1,380/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Railroad Springs residents are renters?

61% of Railroad Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 4,921 residents.
Q5

Is Railroad Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Railroad Springs sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Railroad Springs for landlords?

Railroad Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Railroad Springs?

Railroad Springs has 4,447 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), Hispanic / Latino (28.1%), Other / Multiracial (17.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Railroad Springs.

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