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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Railroad Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,921 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Railroad Springs is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ, population 4,921. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, Moderate tier. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

32% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

At $1,380 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10. That places it #8 of 17 neighborhoods in Flagstaff.

For a like-for-like read, Flagstaff Industrial Park and West Ridge score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,412.

61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Railroad Springs vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.7% -8%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,380 -16%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$69,412 +2%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
16.4% -15%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
61.4% +6%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Railroad Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Railroad Springs scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
16.4% below poverty line · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Railroad Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Railroad Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4Railroad SpringsNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Railroad Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04005001103 4.4 4,921 32% $1,380
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Railroad Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Railroad Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Railroad Springs?

Railroad Springs scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Railroad Springs compare to Flagstaff overall?

Railroad Springs scores 0.1 points lower than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,380 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Railroad Springs?

Average gross rent in Railroad Springs is $1,380/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Railroad Springs residents are renters?

61% of Railroad Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 4,921 residents.
Q5

Is Railroad Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Railroad Springs sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Railroad Springs for landlords?

Railroad Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Railroad Springs?

Railroad Springs has 4,447 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), Hispanic / Latino (28.1%), Other / Multiracial (17.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Railroad Springs.

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