Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Presidio in the Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flagstaff
Tract 04005001104 ·
Coconino, AZ · pop 4,342 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 04005001104 in the Presidio in the Pines area of Flagstaff, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%Stable renters 20%Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,978
Renter share72.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$57,115
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Presidio in the Pines
Moderate
Within parent city
82th percentile
#4 of 18 tracts In Flagstaff
High
Within county
92th percentile
#4 of 39 tracts In Coconino
Very High
Within state
99th percentile
#27 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region
Centroid at 35.1853, -111.6832 · click any tract to drill in
Why Presidio in the Pines scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flagstaff
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,635 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flagstaff
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flagstaff
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flagstaff
5.5
How Presidio in the Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Presidio in the Pines
72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Coconino County average of 40.0%. Set annual rent against average income of $57,115 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10. Against the Coconino County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04005001104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005001104?
Census tract 04005001104 in the Presidio in the Pines neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04005001104?
Median gross rent is $1,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04005001104?
23.4% of residents in tract 04005001104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,342.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04005001104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 2th, minority 62th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 04005001104 considered part of Presidio in the Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005001104 fall within Presidio in the Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04005001104 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04005001104 compare to Flagstaff overall?
Tract 04005001104 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff
Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.