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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Presidio in the Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Presidio in the Pines maps to a single census tract in Flagstaff, AZ, population 4,342. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 72% against 34.6% citywide, putting Presidio in the Pines 37.3% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 38%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Set annual rent against average household income of $57,115 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

That places it #4 of 17 neighborhoods in Flagstaff. Average gross rent runs $1,635, close to the Flagstaff average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Presidio in the Pines vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.9% +108%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,635 -1%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$57,115 -16%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
23.4% +21%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
72.2% +25%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Presidio in the Pines and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Presidio in the Pines scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
72% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
23.4% below poverty line · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Presidio in the Pines vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Presidio in the Pines score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Presidio in the Pi: 5.55.5Presidio in the PiNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Presidio in the Pines

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04005001104 5.5 4,342 72% $1,635
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Presidio in the Pines

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Presidio in the Pines

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Presidio in the Pines?

Presidio in the Pines scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Presidio in the Pines compare to Flagstaff overall?

Presidio in the Pines scores 1.0 points higher than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,635 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Presidio in the Pines?

Average gross rent in Presidio in the Pines is $1,635/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Presidio in the Pines residents are renters?

72% of Presidio in the Pines households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 4,342 residents.
Q5

Is Presidio in the Pines a high social-vulnerability area?

Presidio in the Pines sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Presidio in the Pines for landlords?

Presidio in the Pines carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Presidio in the Pines?

Presidio in the Pines has 4,322 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.2%), Other / Multiracial (22.4%), Hispanic / Latino (12.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Presidio in the Pines.

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