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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,188 of 84,120 nationally

El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013113503 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,826 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013113503 sits in the El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn neighborhood of Phoenix, Arizona. It has a population of 4,826 and an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 15% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,247/month against a median household income of $64,527 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 40% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,384
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$64,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 3 tracts In El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank — 44th percentileBottomTop
#212 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank — 61th percentileBottomTop
#399 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank — 65th percentileBottomTop
#617 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4629, -112.0241 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,247 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 113503Phoenix: 3.73.7Phoenixparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B — Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013113503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113503?

Census tract 04013113503 in the El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013113503?

Median gross rent is $1,247/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113503?

17.5% of residents in tract 04013113503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,826.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 73th, minority 89th, housing 99th.

Q5

Is tract 04013113503 considered part of El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113503 fall within El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 04013113503 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 04013113503 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013113503 scores 5.2/10 — higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 04013113503 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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