El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs 43% against 31.0% citywide, putting El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn 12.1% over its own city. At $1,011 a month, rents sit 36% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 16.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The filing record is not thin: 219 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 16.3% of renter households. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 8.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

With little internal variation, 5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.