Eviction Risk in Central City , Phoenix
Tract 04013117200 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,136 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04013117200 sits in the Central City neighborhood of Phoenix, Arizona. It has a population of 1,136 and an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). 52% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 13% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,280/month against a median household income of $65,735 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood — 1,125 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 88.3%
- White (non-Hispanic) 10.8%
- Other / Multiracial 1%
How the 5.7/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.9 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 5.5 | Phoenix (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 1.0 | Phoenix (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 4.5 | Phoenix (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 3.0 | Phoenix (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 6.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.6 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 93Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2005)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.5%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 19.9%Transit barriers
- 33.3%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 41.9%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 35% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Phoenix. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 35.4%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 04013117200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013117200?
Census tract 04013117200 in the Central City neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 04013117200?
Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013117200?
26.0% of residents in tract 04013117200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,136.
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013117200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 20th, minority 94th, housing 35th.
Is tract 04013117200 considered part of Central City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013117200 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013117200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013117200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.99% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 04013117200 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 04013117200 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 35% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Phoenix. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.