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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Hermoso Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013113502 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,243 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013113502 covers part of the Rancho Hermoso area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 46.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 39% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units751
Renter share79.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate31.6%
Median income$41,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Rancho Hermoso
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4549, -112.0172 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Hermoso scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
31.6% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,098 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Rancho Hermoso compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho Hermoso risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 113502Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 459Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 31.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 46.9%Peak (2004)
  • 90Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131135022001: 74 filings (25.92/100 renter HHs)2002: 77 filings (26.97/100 renter HHs)2003: 84 filings (29.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 134 filings (46.93/100 renter HHs)2005: 90 filings (29.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho Hermoso. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Hermoso

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. At $1,098 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Court records carry 459 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 46.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 31.7% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013113502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113502?

Census tract 04013113502 in the Rancho Hermoso neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013113502?

Median gross rent is $1,098/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113502?

31.6% of residents in tract 04013113502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,243.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 80th, minority 97th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 04013113502 considered part of Rancho Hermoso?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113502 fall within Rancho Hermoso (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013113502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 459 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013113502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.73% of renter households, peaking at 46.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013113502 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013113502 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013113502 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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