Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Cimarron Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013319708 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,887 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 04013319708 sits in the Cimarron area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 3,887 residents. Cost burden runs 32% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 26% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,998

Renter share37.8%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate9.4%

Median income$70,855

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3860, -111.9715 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cimarron scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

9.4% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,606 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

How Cimarron compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cimarron. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.6%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.9%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cimarron

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,606, close to the Tempe average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,855.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319708

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319708?

Census tract 04013319708 in the Cimarron neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013319708?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319708?

9.4% of residents in tract 04013319708 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,887.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319708?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 53th, minority 61th, housing 98th.

Is tract 04013319708 considered part of Cimarron?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319708 fall within Cimarron (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013319708 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013319708 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013319708 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.