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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Cimarron Eviction Risk: Lower

6 census tracts · pop 23,941 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3–5

Cimarron takes in 6 census tracts of Phoenix, AZ, population 23,941. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.2/10.

The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5, a 2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Cost burden runs 39% against 31.0% citywide, putting Cimarron 8.2% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 2,104 across 3 observed tracts. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 55.8% of renter households. Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #54 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 11.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Centura West and Adobe.

Average gross rent runs $1,517, close to the Phoenix average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $81,338.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
6 tracts · population-weighted
Cimarron vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.2% +26%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,517 -4%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$81,338 +6%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
9.9% -31%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
37.3% -13%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cimarron and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3–5

Why Cimarron scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–7.5 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–4.5 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.5–6.0 across tracts
4.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–4.5 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.6 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–5.0 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Cimarron vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cimarron score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cimarron: 3.93.9CimarronNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cimarron?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 3 to 5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Cimarron

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013116204 5 4,409 35% $1,449
04013319708 4.5 3,887 32% $1,606
04013319709 4.2
04013116205 4.1 3,975 45% $1,436
04013116202 3.4 5,017 24% $1,488
04013116738 3 6,653 54% $1,580
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cimarron

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,104Total filings (sum)
  • 21.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 55.8%Peak year (2005)
  • 23.42%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cimarron

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cimarron

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cimarron?

Cimarron scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cimarron compare to Phoenix overall?

Cimarron scores 0.3 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,517 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cimarron?

Average gross rent in Cimarron is $1,517/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cimarron residents are renters?

37% of Cimarron households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 23,941 residents.
Q5

Is Cimarron a high social-vulnerability area?

Cimarron sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cimarron have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cimarron is census tract 04013116204 (score 5/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Cimarron for landlords?

Cimarron carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cimarron?

Cimarron has 23,748 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cimarron

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cimarron.

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