Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Heatherbrook Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013319906 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,083 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 04013319906 sits in the Heatherbrook area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,083. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,327
Renter share26.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$144,009
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3534, -111.9005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heatherbrook scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,002 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
4.5
How Heatherbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 293Total filings over 5 yrs
- 33.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 43.1%Peak (2001)
- 48Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heatherbrook. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heatherbrook
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 293 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $2,002, 15% above the Tempe average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2001, when 43.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 33.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013319906
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319906?
Census tract 04013319906 in the Heatherbrook neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013319906?
Median gross rent is $2,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319906?
6.7% of residents in tract 04013319906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319906?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 3th, minority 49th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 04013319906 considered part of Heatherbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319906 fall within Heatherbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319906?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 293 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319906 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.59% of renter households, peaking at 43.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013319906 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013319906 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013319906 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Cascade
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related