Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013319002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,062 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013319002 sits in the Tempe Junction area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 5,062 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units898
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$75,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tempe and the region
Centroid at 33.4126, -111.9362 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tempe Junction scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5
How Tempe Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,494, 14% below the Tempe average.
SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $75,444.
53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013319002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319002?
Census tract 04013319002 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013319002?
Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319002?
22.6% of residents in tract 04013319002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,062.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 1th, minority 51th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 04013319002 considered part of Tempe Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319002 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013319002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013319002 compare to Tempe overall?
Tract 04013319002 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tempe
Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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