New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10. Court records carry 221 eviction filings across 5 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally.

At $1,420 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $95,163, annual rent is just 18%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.