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Neighborhood · Chandler, AZ

New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 21,806 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.6/10 · range 1.8–3

New Horizons is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Chandler with 5 census tracts and a population of 21,806 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,691/month sits 11% lower than the Chandler citywide average ($1,902).

Risk score
2.6
Lower
5 tracts · population-weighted
New Horizons vs Chandler How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.8% +58%
Chandler: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,691 -11%
Chandler: $1,902
Average HH income
$89,453 -14%
Chandler: $103,691
Poverty rate
9.4% +23%
Chandler: 7.7%
Renter share
35.8% +2%
Chandler: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New Horizons and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 1.8–3

Why New Horizons scores 2.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.5 across tracts
3.2
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–3.0 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 2.0–2.5 across tracts
2.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.5 across tracts
2.2
Economic stress
9.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.9 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–4.4 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

New Horizons vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

New Horizons score vs. parent city, state, U.S.New Horizons: 2.62.6New HorizonsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in New Horizons?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 1.8 to 3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in New Horizons

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013422209 3 7,597 50% $1,659
04013422217 2.5 3,415 24% $1,420
04013422304 2.5 2,914 45% $1,752
04013422216 2.4 5,841 50% $1,826
04013422220 1.8 2,039 43% $1,790
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in New Horizons

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,491Total filings (sum)
  • 20.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 60.2%Peak year (2004)
  • 13.54%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in New Horizons

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About New Horizons

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for New Horizons?

New Horizons scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does New Horizons compare to Chandler overall?

New Horizons scores 0.1 points higher than Chandler overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,691 vs $1,902.
Q3

What is the average rent in New Horizons?

Average gross rent in New Horizons is $1,691/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of New Horizons residents are renters?

36% of New Horizons households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 21,806 residents.
Q5

Is New Horizons a high social-vulnerability area?

New Horizons sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in New Horizons have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in New Horizons is census tract 04013422209 (score 3/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.8 to 3, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is New Horizons for landlords?

New Horizons carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of New Horizons?

New Horizons has 21,404 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.7%), Other / Multiracial (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near New Horizons

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chandler

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to New Horizons.

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