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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013422220 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,039 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 04013422220 sits in the New Horizons area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,039. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units837
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$104,567

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In New Horizons
Low
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 61 tracts In Chandler
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#804 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3534, -111.8504 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Horizons scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,790 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How New Horizons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Horizons risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 422220Chandler: 3.23.2Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 10.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2004)
  • 8Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134222202001: 5 filings (8.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (8.77/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (15.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (14.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Horizons

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 30 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 15.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422220

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422220?

Census tract 04013422220 in the New Horizons neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422220?

Median gross rent is $1,790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422220?

3.1% of residents in tract 04013422220 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,039.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422220?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 23th, minority 33th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422220 considered part of New Horizons?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422220 fall within New Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422220?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422220 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.63% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422220 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422220 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013422220 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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