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Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Marana Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004613 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,132 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Marana

Tract 04019004613, home to 4,132 residents in Marana in Pima County, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,454 a month against an average household income of $54,840 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 17% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,681
Renter share41.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$54,840

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In Marana
Very High
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#934 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#51,553 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Marana and the region

Centroid at 32.3286, -111.0472 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marana scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Marana
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marana
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marana
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marana
3.8

How Marana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marana risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 004613Marana: 2.42.4Maranaparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,279Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 20.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.3%Peak (2006)
  • 61Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190046132004: 130 filings (28.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 123 filings (26.74/100 renter HHs)2006: 144 filings (31.30/100 renter HHs)2007: 136 filings (29.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 117 filings (25.43/100 renter HHs)2009: 140 filings (30.43/100 renter HHs)2010: 122 filings (24.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 78 filings (12.06/100 renter HHs)2012: 66 filings (10.20/100 renter HHs)2013: 101 filings (15.61/100 renter HHs)2016: 61 filings (7.31/100 renter HHs)2017: 61 filings (7.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marana

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Marana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,279 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 20.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 31.3% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004613

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004613?

Census tract 04019004613 in Marana scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004613?

Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004613?

13.0% of residents in tract 04019004613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,132.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004613?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 92th, minority 64th, housing 88th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004613?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,279 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004613 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.75% of renter households, peaking at 31.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004613 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004613 compare to Marana overall?

Tract 04019004613 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Marana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marana

Top eight tracts in Marana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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