Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Valle Sereno Eviction Risk: Lower , Yuma
Tract 04027000909 · Yuma, AZ · pop 6,016 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 04027000909 in the Valle Sereno area of Yuma, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,016 residents. Against Yuma County at 40.1%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,777
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$90,505
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Yuma and the region
Centroid at 32.6911, -114.6761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valle Sereno scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Yuma
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yuma
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yuma
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yuma
3.0
How Valle Sereno compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valle Sereno. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.4%Food insecurity
- 20.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.6%Transit barriers
- 25.7%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valle Sereno
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,436, 29% above the Yuma average. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 29.4% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Yuma County average of 3.8 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04027000909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027000909?
Census tract 04027000909 in the Valle Sereno neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04027000909?
Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04027000909?
25.0% of residents in tract 04027000909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,016.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04027000909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 55th, minority 89th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 04027000909 considered part of Valle Sereno?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027000909 fall within Valle Sereno (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04027000909 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04027000909 compare to Yuma overall?
Tract 04027000909 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Yuma at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Yuma
Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Pecan Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Pecan Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Bardeaux Oakx
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arc Center
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Pecan Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04027010913
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Greentree
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Los Arcos
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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