Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Conway Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05045030403 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 3,621 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Conway

05045030403 is a census tract in Conway, AR. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,621 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 27% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,508

Renter share56.0%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate21.0%

Median income$58,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 35.0992, -92.3782 · click any tract to drill in

Why Conway scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Conway

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.5

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

21.0% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$943 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Conway

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Conway

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Conway

2.0

How Conway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.9%Housing insecurity
12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
21.3%Food insecurity
14.1%SNAP enrollment
11.4%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
39.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Conway

Against Faulkner County at 37.2%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Faulkner County average of 3.6 closely.

Average gross rent is $943, close to the Conway average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $58,095.

56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05045030403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045030403?

Census tract 05045030403 in Conway scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05045030403?

Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05045030403?

21.0% of residents in tract 05045030403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,621.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05045030403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 72th, minority 54th, housing 98th.

What share of households in tract 05045030403 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05045030403 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 05045030403 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.