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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Mayflower Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05045031102 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 4,912 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Mayflower

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 05045031102 in Mayflower, AR reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,912 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 10% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,783
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$61,932

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Mayflower
Very Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 28 tracts In Faulkner County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#333 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mayflower and the region

Centroid at 34.9739, -92.5258 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayflower scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mayflower
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,253 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mayflower
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mayflower
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mayflower
3.2

How Mayflower compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayflower risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0311023.2Mayflowerparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayflower

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Faulkner County average of 37.2%. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The voucher gap is 21.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Faulkner County average of 3.6 closely. Average gross rent is $1,253, close to the Mayflower average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05045031102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045031102?

Census tract 05045031102 in Mayflower scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05045031102?

Median gross rent is $1,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05045031102?

19.2% of residents in tract 05045031102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,912.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05045031102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 17th, minority 20th, housing 65th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05045031102 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05045031102 compare to Mayflower overall?

Tract 05045031102 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Mayflower at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mayflower; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mayflower

Top eight tracts in Mayflower ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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