Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Mayflower Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 05045031102 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 4,912 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Mayflower
Eviction risk in Mayflower centers on tract 05045031102, which scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,912 residents. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,253 monthly, set against $61,932 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,783
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$61,932
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mayflower and the region
Centroid at 34.9739, -92.5258 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayflower scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mayflower
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,253 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mayflower
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mayflower
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mayflower
3.2
How Mayflower compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayflower
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mayflower, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Faulkner County average of 4.1 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05045031102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045031102?
Census tract 05045031102 in Mayflower scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05045031102?
Median gross rent is $1,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05045031102?
19.2% of residents in tract 05045031102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,912.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05045031102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 17th, minority 20th, housing 65th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05045031102 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05045031102 compare to Mayflower overall?
Tract 05045031102 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Mayflower at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mayflower; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mayflower
Top eight tracts in Mayflower ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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