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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Geyer Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119002001 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 5,886 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Geyer Springs area of Little Rock centers on tract 05119002001, which scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,886 residents. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,092 a month while the average household earns $46,995 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 19% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,297
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$46,995

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Geyer Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#324 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7006, -92.3395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Geyer Springs scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Geyer Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Geyer Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 002001Little Rock: 2.22.2Little Rockparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Geyer Springs

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119002001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119002001?

Census tract 05119002001 in the Geyer Springs neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119002001?

Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119002001?

13.7% of residents in tract 05119002001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,886.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119002001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 83th, minority 92th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 05119002001 considered part of Geyer Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119002001 fall within Geyer Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119002001 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119002001 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119002001 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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