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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Applegate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119002002 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 4,054 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 05119002002 sits in the Applegate area of Little Rock eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 4,054. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 17% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,739
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate43.4%
Median income$28,092

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Applegate
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Very High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.6944, -92.3197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Applegate scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$845 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Applegate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Applegate risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0020023.3Little Rockparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Applegate

Against Pulaski County at 42.5%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 42.7% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $28,092, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Average gross rent is $845, 24% below the Little Rock average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.8% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Pulaski County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Little Rock. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119002002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119002002?

Census tract 05119002002 in the Applegate neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119002002?

Median gross rent is $845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119002002?

43.4% of residents in tract 05119002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 90th, minority 91th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 05119002002 considered part of Applegate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119002002 fall within Applegate (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119002002 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119002002 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119002002 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 05119002002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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