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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Applegate Eviction Risk: Elevated , Little Rock

Tract 05119002002 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 4,054 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Applegate in Little Rock anchors census tract 05119002002, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $845 monthly, set against $28,092 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 17% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,739
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate43.4%
Median income$28,092

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Applegate
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.6944, -92.3197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Applegate scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$845 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Applegate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Applegate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 002002Little Rock: 2.22.2Little Rockparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Applegate

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119002002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119002002?

Census tract 05119002002 in the Applegate neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119002002?

Median gross rent is $845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119002002?

43.4% of residents in tract 05119002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 90th, minority 91th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 05119002002 considered part of Applegate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119002002 fall within Applegate (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119002002 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119002002 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119002002 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 05119002002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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