Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Twin Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock
Tract 05119002208 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 2,039 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 05119002208 covers part of the Twin Lakes area of Little Rock, AR, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,039 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units893
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$63,886
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Rock and the region
Centroid at 34.7562, -92.3888 · click any tract to drill in
Why Twin Lakes scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0
How Twin Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Twin Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 37.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Twin Lakes
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against Pulaski County at 42.5%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
The voucher gap is 19.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $1,237 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Little Rock commands.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pulaski County average of 3.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $63,886. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 05119002208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119002208?
Census tract 05119002208 in the Twin Lakes neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05119002208?
Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05119002208?
25.3% of residents in tract 05119002208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,039.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05119002208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 77th, minority 65th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 05119002208 considered part of Twin Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119002208 fall within Twin Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05119002208 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05119002208 compare to Little Rock overall?
Tract 05119002208 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock
Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
Twin Lakes
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Forest Hill
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Pine Forest
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Hicks Interuban Addition
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05119980400
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Boulevard Terrace
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Applegate
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Allendale Manor
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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