Little Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 42.9% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 51.4% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $26,522 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $833, 25% below the Little Rock average.

Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Pulaski County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.