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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Lake Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001403900 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,883 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 06001403900 sits in the Grand Lake area of Oakland eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.7/10. It is home to 3,883 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 41% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,203
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$104,342

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grand Lake
Moderate
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 378 tracts In Alameda
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#1,125 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.8172, -122.2488 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Lake scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,257 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How Grand Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grand Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.79.7This tracttract 403900Oakland: 9.69.6Oaklandparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Lake

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

Against Alameda County at 45.5%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.9 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. At $2,257 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Oakland commands.

SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #2,339 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001403900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001403900?

Census tract 06001403900 in the Grand Lake neighborhood scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001403900?

Median gross rent is $2,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001403900?

8.6% of residents in tract 06001403900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,883.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001403900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 11th, minority 55th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 06001403900 considered part of Grand Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001403900 fall within Grand Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001403900 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001403900 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001403900 scores 9.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001403900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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