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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Grand Lake Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 3,883 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.7/10 · range 9.7–9.7

Grand Lake maps to a single census tract in Oakland, CA and houses 3,883 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.7/10, High tier. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,257 a month, rents sit 14% over what the rest of Oakland commands.

Cost burden runs 34% against 30.6% citywide, putting Grand Lake 3.8% over its own city. Food insecurity affects 8.9% of adults, 8.9 points below the national rate. 4.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #24 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. The closest comparables inside the same city are Broadway Auto Row and Cleveland Heights. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $104,342.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 9.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.7
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grand Lake vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.4% +12%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,257 +14%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$104,342 +7%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
8.6% -37%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
63.0% +9%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.7–9.7

Why Grand Lake scores 9.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
8.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Grand Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grand Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Grand Lake: 9.79.7Grand LakeNeighborhoodParent city: 9.69.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grand Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001403900 9.7 3,883 34% $2,257
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grand Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grand Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Lake?

Grand Lake scores 9.7/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grand Lake compare to Oakland overall?

Grand Lake scores 0.1 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,257 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grand Lake?

Average gross rent in Grand Lake is $2,257/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grand Lake residents are renters?

63% of Grand Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 3,883 residents.
Q5

Is Grand Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Grand Lake sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grand Lake for landlords?

Grand Lake carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Lake?

Grand Lake has 3,864 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.4%), Hispanic / Latino (11.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grand Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grand Lake.

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