Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001407300 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,459 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001407300 in the Melrose area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 25% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units674

Renter share60.4%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate16.6%

Median income$82,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7622, -122.2109 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.6% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$2,237 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Melrose compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
37%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.1%Housing insecurity
15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
34.9%Food insecurity
34.6%SNAP enrollment
18.0%Transit barriers
19.2%No health insurance
21.9%Frequent mental distress
39.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.7/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 34.6% against 15.2% nationally. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $82,639, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Average gross rent is $2,237, 13% above the Oakland average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001407300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001407300?

Census tract 06001407300 in the Melrose neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001407300?

Median gross rent is $2,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001407300?

16.6% of residents in tract 06001407300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,459.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001407300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 61th, minority 90th, housing 89th.

Is tract 06001407300 considered part of Melrose?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001407300 fall within Melrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001407300 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001407300 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001407300 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001407300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.