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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001407500 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,988 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001407500 in the Melrose area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,988. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 26% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,298
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$49,643

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Melrose
Very Low
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Elevated
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7695, -122.1976 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,215 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How Melrose compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 407500Oakland: 9.69.6Oaklandparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,215, 39% below the Oakland average.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. SNAP participation runs 35.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Alameda County average of 45.5%.

It sits 2.1 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8. Housing insecurity runs 28.8% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001407500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001407500?

Census tract 06001407500 in the Melrose neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001407500?

Median gross rent is $1,215/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001407500?

22.2% of residents in tract 06001407500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,988.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001407500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 92th, minority 93th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 06001407500 considered part of Melrose?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001407500 fall within Melrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001407500 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001407500 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001407500 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001407500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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