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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Melrose Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 10,689 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Melrose takes in 3 census tracts of Oakland, CA and houses 10,689 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.9/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a Oakland baseline of 30.6%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. SNAP participation is 34.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Food insecurity affects 35.4% of adults, 17.6 points above the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,524, 23% below the Oakland average of $1,979. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

That places it #1 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. The closest comparables inside the same city are Clinton and Seminary Park. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $58,147.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Melrose vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.4% +104%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,524 -23%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$58,147 -40%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
24.5% +79%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
66.7% +16%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Melrose scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
24.5% below poverty line · Range 4.2–7.8 across tracts
6.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Melrose vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Melrose score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9MelroseNeighborhood9.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Melrose?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Melrose

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06001407400 9.9 4,242 69% $1,402
06001407500 9.9 3,988 58% $1,215
06001407300 9.9 2,459 58% $2,237
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Melrose

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Melrose

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Melrose?

Melrose scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Melrose compare to Oakland overall?

Melrose scores 0.3 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,524 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Melrose?

Average gross rent in Melrose is $1,524/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Melrose residents are renters?

67% of Melrose households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 10,689 residents.
Q5

Is Melrose a high social-vulnerability area?

Melrose sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Melrose have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Melrose is census tract 06001407400 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Melrose for landlords?

Melrose carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Melrose?

Melrose has 10,356 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Melrose

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Melrose.

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