Skip to content
Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Melrose Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 10,689 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Melrose takes in 3 census tracts of Oakland, CA and houses 10,689 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.9/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a Oakland baseline of 30.6%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. SNAP participation is 34.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Food insecurity affects 35.4% of adults, 17.6 points above the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,524, 23% below the Oakland average of $1,979. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

That places it #1 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. The closest comparables inside the same city are Clinton and Seminary Park. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $58,147.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Melrose vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.4% +104%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,524 -23%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$58,147 -40%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
24.5% +79%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
66.7% +16%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Melrose scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
24.5% below poverty line · Range 4.2–7.8 across tracts
6.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Melrose vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Melrose score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Melrose: 9.99.9MelroseNeighborhoodParent city: 9.69.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Melrose?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Melrose

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001407400 9.9 4,242 69% $1,402
06001407500 9.9 3,988 58% $1,215
06001407300 9.9 2,459 58% $2,237
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Melrose

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Melrose

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Melrose?

Melrose scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Melrose compare to Oakland overall?

Melrose scores 0.3 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,524 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Melrose?

Average gross rent in Melrose is $1,524/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Melrose residents are renters?

67% of Melrose households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 10,689 residents.
Q5

Is Melrose a high social-vulnerability area?

Melrose sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Melrose have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Melrose is census tract 06001407400 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Melrose for landlords?

Melrose carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Melrose?

Melrose has 10,356 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Melrose

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Melrose.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further