Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Millsmont Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001408200 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,471 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001408200 in the Millsmont area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,471. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,893

Renter share44.7%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate8.4%

Median income$84,496

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7751, -122.1756 · click any tract to drill in

Why Millsmont scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.4% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$2,068 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Millsmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
33%Grade B
44%Grade C
22%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Millsmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
17.1%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Millsmont

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.7/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,068, close to the Oakland average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $84,496.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001408200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001408200?

Census tract 06001408200 in the Millsmont neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001408200?

Median gross rent is $2,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001408200?

8.4% of residents in tract 06001408200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,471.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001408200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 59th, minority 87th, housing 53th.

Is tract 06001408200 considered part of Millsmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001408200 fall within Millsmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001408200 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001408200 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001408200 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001408200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.