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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Millsmont Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 11,784 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9/10 · range 8.5–9.9

Millsmont takes in 2 census tracts of Oakland, CA and houses 11,784 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9/10, in the High tier. Against a Oakland baseline of 30.6%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8.5 to 9.9, a 1.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. That places it #35 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $145,057, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,016, close to the Oakland average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Millsmont vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.9% +57%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,016 +2%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$145,057 +49%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
6.1% -55%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
23.5% -59%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Millsmont and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 8.5–9.9

Why Millsmont scores 9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.2–2.1 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.7 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Millsmont vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Millsmont score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.0MillsmontNeighborhood9.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Millsmont

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06001408200 9.9 4,471 52% $2,068
06001408100 8.5 7,313 46% $1,985
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Millsmont

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Millsmont

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Millsmont?

Millsmont scores 9/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Millsmont compare to Oakland overall?

Millsmont scores 0.6 points lower than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,016 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Millsmont?

Average gross rent in Millsmont is $2,016/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Millsmont residents are renters?

24% of Millsmont households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 11,784 residents.
Q5

Is Millsmont a high social-vulnerability area?

Millsmont sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Millsmont have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Millsmont is census tract 06001408200 (score 9.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.5 to 9.9, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Millsmont for landlords?

Millsmont carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Millsmont?

Millsmont has 12,295 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (32.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.5%), Hispanic / Latino (19.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Millsmont

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Millsmont.

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