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Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Discovery Bay Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06013304006 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,292 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Discovery Bay

For landlords sizing up Discovery Bay, census tract 06013304006 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #31,462 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,214 monthly, set against $165,842 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,109
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$165,842

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Discovery Bay
Very Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#203 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very Low
Within state
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#8,899 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#69,776 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Discovery Bay and the region

Centroid at 37.9521, -121.5995 · click any tract to drill in

Why Discovery Bay scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,214 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Discovery Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Discovery Bay
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.0

How Discovery Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Discovery Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.32.3This tracttract 304006Discovery Bay: 8.48.4Discovery Bayparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Discovery Bay

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Discovery Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013304006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013304006?

Census tract 06013304006 in Discovery Bay scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013304006?

Median gross rent is $3,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013304006?

1.6% of residents in tract 06013304006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,292.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013304006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 56th, minority 57th, housing 14th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013304006 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013304006 compare to Discovery Bay overall?

Tract 06013304006 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Discovery Bay at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Discovery Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Discovery Bay

Top eight tracts in Discovery Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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