Discovery Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.6 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.

The voucher gap is 19.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.