Census Tract · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Antioch Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013307204 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,567

With a score of 8.3/10, tract 06013307204 in Antioch, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,567 residents. Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

8.3

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,529

Renter share21.6%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate10.5%

Median income$96,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Antioch and the region

Centroid at 37.9947, -121.8309 · click any tract to drill in

Why Antioch scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Antioch

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.5% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,635 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Antioch

8.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Antioch

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Antioch

7.1

How Antioch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.5%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
18.1%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Antioch

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $96,875 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,635, 16% above the Antioch average.

Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013307204

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013307204?

Census tract 06013307204 in Antioch scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06013307204?

Median gross rent is $2,635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013307204?

10.5% of residents in tract 06013307204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,567.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013307204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 33th, minority 77th, housing 16th.

What share of households in tract 06013307204 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013307204 compare to Antioch overall?

Tract 06013307204 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Antioch at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Antioch eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Antioch

Top eight tracts in Antioch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.