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Census Tract · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Antioch Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013307102 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,694

Census tract 06013307102 covers part of Antioch, CA, and scores 8.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,694 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 15% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,905
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$76,635

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 21 tracts In Antioch
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#22 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,974 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,393 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Antioch and the region

Centroid at 38.0005, -121.8156 · click any tract to drill in

Why Antioch scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Antioch
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,123 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Antioch
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Antioch
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Antioch
7.1

How Antioch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Antioch risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.9This tracttract 3071027.7Antiochparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Antioch

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%. Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $76,635, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. SNAP participation runs 25.7% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $2,123, close to the Antioch average. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013307102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013307102?

Census tract 06013307102 in Antioch scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013307102?

Median gross rent is $2,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013307102?

10.9% of residents in tract 06013307102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,694.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013307102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 89th, minority 85th, housing 46th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013307102 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013307102 compare to Antioch overall?

Tract 06013307102 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Antioch at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Antioch eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Antioch

Top eight tracts in Antioch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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