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Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Antioch Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013355120 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,036

Census tract 06013355120 covers part of Antioch, CA, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,036 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 12% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,366
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$99,299

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 21 tracts In Antioch
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,681 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3,797 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Antioch and the region

Centroid at 37.9642, -121.7887 · click any tract to drill in

Why Antioch scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Antioch
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$3,202 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Antioch
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Antioch
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Antioch
7.1

How Antioch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Antioch risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 3551207.7Antiochparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Antioch

Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $3,202 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of Antioch commands.

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $99,299, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. The voucher gap is 19.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013355120

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013355120?

Census tract 06013355120 in Antioch scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013355120?

Median gross rent is $3,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013355120?

20.1% of residents in tract 06013355120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,036.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013355120?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 81th, minority 83th, housing 24th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013355120 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013355120 compare to Antioch overall?

Tract 06013355120 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Antioch at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Antioch eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Antioch

Top eight tracts in Antioch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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