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Antioch, California eviction risk overview

Antioch, CA Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Contra Costa County · Population 116,477

In 2026
Risk score
9.2
VERY HIGH

99th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average4.1 Now9.2
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 2.0 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 2.0 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.9 1987 · score 2.0 1988 · score 2.3 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.5 1992 · score 3.1 1993 · score 3.2 1994 · score 3.2 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.4 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.5 2002 · score 3.6 2003 · score 3.6 2004 · score 3.7 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 3.9 2007 · score 4.0 2008 · score 4.7 2009 · score 4.9 2010 · score 5.0 2011 · score 5.1 2012 · score 5.1 2013 · score 5.2 2014 · score 5.3 2015 · score 5.4 2016 · score 5.9 2017 · score 6.2 2018 · score 6.5 2019 · score 6.8 2020 · score 7.8 2021 · score 7.8 2022 · score 7.8 2023 · score 7.9 2024 · score 7.7 2025 · score 6.2 2026 · score 9.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.5 Regional 7.5 State 6.8 Economic 6.8 Supply 8.6 Rent Control 8.6 Eviction 6.4 Tenant 7.6 Housing 7.1 9.2 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +38.0% (2024)
    7.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    11.2% poverty · 7.1% unemp.
    6.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,278 average · 36.4% renters
    8.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    37.3% of income on rent
    8.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    284 days filing → judgment
    6.4
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    36.4% renters
    7.6
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Antioch and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Antioch compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Contra Costa County
Very High
#2 of 50 cities
Rank in county, 98th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 50 cities in Contra Costa County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Very High
#21 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 99th percentileBottomTop
#21 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Antioch risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Antioch: 9.29.2AntiochThis cityCounty: 7.17.1Countyavg in countyState: 7.27.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 9.2
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 9.2/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+7.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 284d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,278/mo. A contested eviction takes 284 days and costs $14,870-$31,930 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 36.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 116,477 residents, 36.4% rent. 37% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 11.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.5 and 7.5 (Dem margin +38.0% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.4, housing court bias 7.1, rent-control risk 8.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.4 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.8. Supply constraint: 8.6. The numbers behind those: 11.2% poverty, 7.1% unemployment, 37% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Antioch sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 9.6 San Jose San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.9 San Francisco Sacramento, CA · 281d · ~$25.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.6 Sacramento Oakland, CA · 282d · ~$24.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 9.9 Oakland Stockton, CA · 246d · ~$23.2k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.3 Stockton Fremont, CA · 254d · ~$26.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 6.1 Fremont Modesto, CA · 262d · ~$25.5k all-in ($97/day) · score 6.9 Modesto Elk Grove, CA · 245d · ~$24.4k all-in ($100/day) · score 7.2 Elk Grove Hayward, CA · 287d · ~$27.6k all-in ($96/day) · score 9.7 Hayward Sunnyvale, CA · 287d · ~$24.9k all-in ($87/day) · score 5.2 Sunnyvale Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Antioch
Antioch · 284d · ~$23.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 9.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Antioch, CA

Landlording in Antioch, California, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.2/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Antioch is a city of 116,477 residents where 36.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 37.3% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,278/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Antioch eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.4/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Antioch closes 284 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Antioch's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Antioch runs $14,870 to $31,930 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 284 days of typical timeline and $2,278/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.6/10 in Antioch, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Antioch: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $31,930 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Antioch

Trap · 8.6/10
Comparative benchmarking matters in markets like this. Antioch's 6.2/10 is near the California state average. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 8.6/10. See the nearby cities grid below for direct A-vs-B comparison.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Antioch for any reason?

No. California has statewide just-cause eviction requirements. After a tenant has lived in your property for 12 months, you must have a legally recognized "just cause" to evict them, such as non-payment of rent, lease violations, or owner move-in. You cannot simply decide not to renew their lease without cause. This is a critical point for California rent control rules.
Q2

How long does it really take to evict someone in Antioch?

Our data shows a typical timeline of 284 days for a contested eviction. While some cases can be faster if the tenant doesn't respond, assume it will be a long process if they fight it. This is why prevention and early resolution (like cash-for-keys) are so important.
Q3

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Antioch evictions?

The biggest mistake is attempting a DIY eviction or delaying legal action. California's laws are extremely complex and tenant-friendly. One procedural error on a notice, filing, or during court can get your case dismissed, forcing you to start over and costing you thousands more in lost rent and legal fees.
Q4

Can I charge whatever I want for a security deposit?

No, in California, security deposits are capped at 1.00 months' rent for unfurnished properties. For furnished properties, the cap is 2.00 months' rent.
Q5

Is there anything unique about Contra Costa County that impacts evictions?

While the core eviction process is statewide, local courts and judges can have slightly different interpretations or preferences for procedures. Also, Contra Costa County is generally considered a tenant-friendly jurisdiction, which influences judicial decisions. For more on local specifics, see our Contra Costa County eviction guide.
Q6

What if my tenant claims they lost their job and can't pay?

While you can sympathize, you are running a business. If a tenant stops paying, you still have mortgage, taxes, and expenses. Explore options like connecting them with rental assistance programs. If they cannot pay, you must follow the eviction process. Do not let non-payment drag on indefinitely without taking legal steps.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 9.2/10 places Antioch in the 99th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.