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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Concord

Tract 06013333200 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,866 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 06013333200 sits in the Turtle Creek area of Concord eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Population here is 5,866. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,094
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$122,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Turtle Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 28 tracts In Concord
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#115 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Moderate
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#5,752 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Concord and the region

Centroid at 37.9690, -121.9851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Creek scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Concord
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,267 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Concord
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Concord
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Concord
6.6

How Turtle Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turtle Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 3332007.4Concordparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Creek

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Contra Costa County average of 6.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013333200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013333200?

Census tract 06013333200 in the Turtle Creek neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013333200?

Median gross rent is $2,267/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013333200?

3.9% of residents in tract 06013333200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,866.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013333200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 73th, minority 61th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 06013333200 considered part of Turtle Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013333200 fall within Turtle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013333200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013333200 compare to Concord overall?

Tract 06013333200 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Concord at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Concord eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Concord

Top eight tracts in Concord ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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