Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Concord
Tract 06013333200 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,866 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
How risky is Turtle Creek in Concord for landlords? Census tract 06013333200 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,267 a month against an average household income of $122,132 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,094
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$122,132
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Concord and the region
Centroid at 37.9690, -121.9851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Creek scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Concord
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,267 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Concord
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Concord
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Concord
6.6
How Turtle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turtle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Creek
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Concord eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013333200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013333200?
Census tract 06013333200 in the Turtle Creek neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013333200?
Median gross rent is $2,267/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013333200?
3.9% of residents in tract 06013333200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,866.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013333200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 73th, minority 61th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 06013333200 considered part of Turtle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013333200 fall within Turtle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013333200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013333200 compare to Concord overall?
Tract 06013333200 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Concord at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Concord eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Concord
Top eight tracts in Concord ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Four Corners
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Wisteria
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Wisteria
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Four Corners
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Four Corners
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Fruitbowl
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Four Corners
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Penny Lane
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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