Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Concord
Tract 06013334007 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,435 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
06013334007 is a census tract in the Turtle Creek area of Concord, CA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,435 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,772
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$120,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Concord and the region
Centroid at 37.9583, -121.9861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Creek scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Concord
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,115 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Concord
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Concord
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Concord
6.6
How Turtle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turtle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Creek
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%. It sits 0.9 points above the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.
Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,115, close to the Concord average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $120,167. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013334007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013334007?
Census tract 06013334007 in the Turtle Creek neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013334007?
Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013334007?
13.1% of residents in tract 06013334007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,435.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013334007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 67th, minority 70th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 06013334007 considered part of Turtle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013334007 fall within Turtle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013334007 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013334007 compare to Concord overall?
Tract 06013334007 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Concord at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Concord eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Concord
Top eight tracts in Concord ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Four Corners
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Four Corners
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Wisteria
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Wisteria
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Four Corners
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Fruitbowl
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Four Corners
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Penny Lane
8
/ 10 · High
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