Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Concord
Tract 06013334007 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,435 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06013334007 (Turtle Creek in Concord, California) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #17,616 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,115 a month while the average household earns $120,167 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,772
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$120,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Concord and the region
Centroid at 37.9583, -121.9861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Creek scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Concord
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,115 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Concord
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Concord
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Concord
6.6
How Turtle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turtle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Creek
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Concord eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013334007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013334007?
Census tract 06013334007 in the Turtle Creek neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013334007?
Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013334007?
13.1% of residents in tract 06013334007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,435.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013334007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 67th, minority 70th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 06013334007 considered part of Turtle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013334007 fall within Turtle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013334007 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013334007 compare to Concord overall?
Tract 06013334007 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Concord at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Concord eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Concord
Top eight tracts in Concord ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Four Corners
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Wisteria
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Wisteria
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Four Corners
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Four Corners
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Fruitbowl
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Four Corners
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Penny Lane
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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