2 census tracts · pop 9,301 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10
· range 6.7–7.7
Turtle Creek spans 2 census tracts of Concord, CA and houses 9,301 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.1/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Concord baseline of 36.2%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.8/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 6.7 to 7.7. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
That places it #8 of 13 neighborhoods in Concord. For a like-for-like read, Canterbury Village and Camelback score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $2,211, close to the Concord average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $121,406. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Turtle Creek vs ConcordHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Turtle Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.1%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
6.1%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Turtle Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Creek?
Turtle Creek scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Turtle Creek compare to Concord overall?
Turtle Creek scores 0.3 points lower than Concord overall (7.4/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,211 vs $2,274.
Q3
What is the average rent in Turtle Creek?
Average gross rent in Turtle Creek is $2,211/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Turtle Creek residents are renters?
30% of Turtle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Concord). The neighborhood has 9,301 residents.
Q5
Is Turtle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Turtle Creek sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Turtle Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Turtle Creek is census tract 06013334007 (score 7.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 7.7, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Turtle Creek for landlords?
Turtle Creek carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Concord as a whole (7.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Creek?
Turtle Creek has 9,279 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.7%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Other / Multiracial (15.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
