Neighborhood · Concord, CA

Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,301 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.2–4.9

Turtle Creek is a diverse neighborhood in Concord with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,301 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 63% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,211/month sits 3% lower than the Concord citywide average ($2,274).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Turtle Creek vs Concord How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

62.9% +74%

Concord: 36.2%

Average gross rent

$2,211 -3%

Concord: $2,274

Average HH income

$121,406 +11%

Concord: $109,195

Poverty rate

7.3% -18%

Concord: 8.9%

Renter share

29.9% -22%

Concord: 38.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turtle Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.9

Why Turtle Creek scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

63% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

30% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Economic stress

7.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts

1.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–3.5 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Turtle Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Turtle Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06013334007	4.9	3,435	54%	$2,115
06013333200	4.2	5,866	68%	$2,267

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 71%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Turtle Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.1%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
6.1%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Turtle Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Creek?

Turtle Creek scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Turtle Creek compare to Concord overall?

Turtle Creek scores 3.5 points lower than Concord overall (8/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,211 vs $2,274.

What is the average rent in Turtle Creek?

Average gross rent in Turtle Creek is $2,211/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Turtle Creek residents are renters?

30% of Turtle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Concord). The neighborhood has 9,301 residents.

Is Turtle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Turtle Creek sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Turtle Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Turtle Creek is census tract 06013334007 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.9, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Turtle Creek for landlords?

Turtle Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Concord as a whole (8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Creek?

Turtle Creek has 9,279 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.7%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Other / Multiracial (15.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Turtle Creek

4.3 Rose Glen 3 tracts · pop 11,995 4.5 Canterbury Village 2 tracts · pop 7,120 4.8 Penny Lane 2 tracts · pop 11,401 4.3 Clayton Valley Highlands 2 tracts · pop 8,220 5.9 Four Corners 5 tracts · pop 21,827 5.7 Wisteria 3 tracts · pop 10,452

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Concord

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Turtle Creek.

4.5 Canterbury Village 2 tracts · pop 7,120 4.6 Camelback 2 tracts · pop 9,095 4.3 Rose Glen 3 tracts · pop 11,995 4.7 Sun Terrace 2 tracts · pop 10,321 4.2 Walnut Country 1 tracts · pop 4,731 4.2 Clayton Valley Highlands 2 tracts · pop 8,220

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