Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Burton Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Walnut Creek
Tract 06013341000 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,760 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 06013341000 covers part of the Burton Valley area of Saranap, CA, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,760 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,086
Renter share33.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$153,036
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Walnut Creek and the region
Centroid at 37.8863, -122.0840 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burton Valley scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,419 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Walnut Creek
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Walnut Creek
4.5
How Burton Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Burton Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burton Valley
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,419, close to the Saranap average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013341000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013341000?
Census tract 06013341000 in the Burton Valley neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013341000?
Median gross rent is $2,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013341000?
3.6% of residents in tract 06013341000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,760.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013341000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 13th, minority 54th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 06013341000 considered part of Burton Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013341000 fall within Burton Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013341000 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013341000 compare to Walnut Creek overall?
Tract 06013341000 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Walnut Creek at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Walnut Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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