Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Burton Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , Walnut Creek

Tract 06013351104 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 1,667 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06013351104 covers part of the Burton Valley area of Walnut Creek, CA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 62%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 5% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units1,232

Renter share12.5%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate2.1%

Median income$60,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Creek and the region

Centroid at 37.8720, -122.0816 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burton Valley scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Walnut Creek

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Walnut Creek

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Walnut Creek

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Walnut Creek

4.6

How Burton Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Burton Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

2.1%Housing insecurity
1.2%Utility-shutoff threat
3.2%Food insecurity
2.7%SNAP enrollment
2.3%Transit barriers
2.3%No health insurance
7.3%Frequent mental distress
33.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burton Valley

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County.

SNAP participation runs 2.7% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013351104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013351104?

Census tract 06013351104 in the Burton Valley neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013351104?

2.1% of residents in tract 06013351104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,667.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013351104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 55th, minority 24th, housing 19th.

Is tract 06013351104 considered part of Burton Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013351104 fall within Burton Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06013351104 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013351104 compare to Walnut Creek overall?

Tract 06013351104 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Walnut Creek at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Walnut Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Walnut Creek

Top eight tracts in Walnut Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.