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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Burton Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Walnut Creek

Tract 06013351105 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 1,814 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in Burton Valley in Walnut Creek centers on tract 06013351105, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,814 residents. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,458 a month while the average household earns $69,306 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share11.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$69,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Burton Valley
Elevated
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 21 tracts In Walnut Creek
Very High
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Elevated
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#6,888 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Creek and the region

Centroid at 37.8744, -122.0776 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burton Valley scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,458 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Walnut Creek
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Walnut Creek
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Walnut Creek
4.6

How Burton Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burton Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 351105Walnut Creek: 8.28.2Walnut Creekparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Burton Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burton Valley

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Walnut Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 2.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 1.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013351105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013351105?

Census tract 06013351105 in the Burton Valley neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013351105?

Median gross rent is $1,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013351105?

3.6% of residents in tract 06013351105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,814.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013351105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 53th, minority 25th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 06013351105 considered part of Burton Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013351105 fall within Burton Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013351105 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013351105 compare to Walnut Creek overall?

Tract 06013351105 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Walnut Creek at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Walnut Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Walnut Creek

Top eight tracts in Walnut Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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