Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $32,304, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. SNAP participation runs 34.9% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 59% here against 49.2% across Kern County. The dominant input is economic stress at 7.8/10.

Average gross rent is $1,137, 23% below the Bakersfield average. Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Housing insecurity runs 22.1% against 14.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.