Census Tract · Ranked #947 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06029000602 · Kern, CA · pop 2,888

Eviction risk in Bakersfield eviction risk centers on tract 06029000602, which scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,888 residents. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,159 a month while the average household earns $29,443 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 23% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units913

Renter share85.9%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate59.2%

Median income$29,443

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3943, -119.0146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

59.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,159 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

39.6%Housing insecurity
26.4%Utility-shutoff threat
51.5%Food insecurity
56.8%SNAP enrollment
28.4%Transit barriers
24.7%No health insurance
28.1%Frequent mental distress
48.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kern County average of 6.1 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 39.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029000602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029000602?

Census tract 06029000602 in Bakersfield scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029000602?

Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029000602?

59.2% of residents in tract 06029000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,888.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029000602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 58th, minority 88th, housing 69th.

What share of households in tract 06029000602 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029000602 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029000602 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.