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Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029001500 · Kern, CA · pop 2,819 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

06029001500 is a census tract in Bakersfield, CA. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,819. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 33% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units752
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate37.1%
Median income$35,735

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Very High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#4,386 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3722, -118.9891 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
37.1% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$1,021 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0015006.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Set annual rent against average income of $35,735 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $1,021, 31% below the Bakersfield average. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Kern County average of 6.4. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029001500?

Census tract 06029001500 in Bakersfield scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029001500?

Median gross rent is $1,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029001500?

37.1% of residents in tract 06029001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,819.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 92th, minority 92th, housing 99th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029001500 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029001500 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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