Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029001902 · Kern, CA · pop 4,383

Census tract 06029001902 covers part of Bakersfield, CA, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,383 residents. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 38% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units1,809

Renter share72.9%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate20.5%

Median income$52,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3605, -119.0242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

20.5% poverty · this tract

5.1

Supply constraint

$1,034 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.3%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
28.2%Food insecurity
27.6%SNAP enrollment
14.5%Transit barriers
16.6%No health insurance
21.0%Frequent mental distress
36.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Average gross rent is $1,034, 30% below the Bakersfield average. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 27.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Kern County average of 6.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $52,873.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029001902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029001902?

Census tract 06029001902 in Bakersfield scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029001902?

Median gross rent is $1,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029001902?

20.5% of residents in tract 06029001902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,383.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029001902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 84th, minority 83th, housing 93th.

What share of households in tract 06029001902 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029001902 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029001902 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.