Census Tract · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003125 · Kern, CA · pop 3,434 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

Bakersfield anchors census tract 06029003125, which lands at 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,258 a month against an average household income of $73,235 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 31% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units910

Renter share41.9%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate21.5%

Median income$73,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3213, -119.0121 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.5% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,258 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.3%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
31.9%Food insecurity
29.5%SNAP enrollment
16.0%Transit barriers
20.1%No health insurance
20.9%Frequent mental distress
38.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kern County average of 6.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003125

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003125?

Census tract 06029003125 in Bakersfield scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003125?

Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003125?

21.5% of residents in tract 06029003125 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,434.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003125?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 81th.

What share of households in tract 06029003125 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003125 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003125 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.