Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06029003125 · Kern, CA · pop 3,434 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 06029003125 in Bakersfield, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,434 residents. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Kern County average of 49.2%.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units910
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$73,235
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region
Centroid at 35.3213, -119.0121 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bakersfield scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,258 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5
How Bakersfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.9%Food insecurity
- 29.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 20.1%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.1% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,258 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Kern County average of 6.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $73,235. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003125
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003125?
Census tract 06029003125 in Bakersfield scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029003125?
Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003125?
21.5% of residents in tract 06029003125 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,434.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003125?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 81th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06029003125 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06029003125 compare to Bakersfield overall?
Tract 06029003125 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield
Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06029001301
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002403
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029001302
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029001500
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002503
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029006201
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029000601
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029001600
7.5
/ 10 · High
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