Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Alvarado Terrace Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037212202 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,417 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

06037212202 is a census tract in the Alvarado Terrace Historic District area of Los Angeles, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,417 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 38% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units1,330

Renter share93.8%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate26.3%

Median income$56,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.0564, -118.2879 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alvarado Terrace Historic District scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.3% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$1,651 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Alvarado Terrace Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alvarado Terrace Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.9%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
38.5%Food insecurity
35.3%SNAP enrollment
17.9%Transit barriers
21.2%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
39.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alvarado Terrace Historic District

94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Food insecurity runs 38.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 35.3% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $56,719, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Los Angeles County average of 53.8%. At $1,651 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Los Angeles commands.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037212202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037212202?

Census tract 06037212202 in the Alvarado Terrace Historic District neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037212202?

Median gross rent is $1,651/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037212202?

26.3% of residents in tract 06037212202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,417.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037212202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 26th, minority 96th, housing 94th.

Is tract 06037212202 considered part of Alvarado Terrace Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037212202 fall within Alvarado Terrace Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037212202 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037212202 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037212202 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037212202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.