Alvarado Terrace Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

At $1,020 a month, rents run 47% under what the rest of Los Angeles commands. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $25,293, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.5/10. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Housing insecurity runs 32.2% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.