Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Carthay Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037214902 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,444 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 9/10, tract 06037214902 in the Carthay area of Los Angeles, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,444 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 36% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units1,532

Renter share77.4%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate12.1%

Median income$117,614

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.0730, -118.3801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carthay scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.1% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$2,643 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Carthay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
13%Grade B
40%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carthay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.2%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
7.7%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
23.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carthay

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,643, 37% above the Los Angeles average. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Los Angeles County average of 8.4 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037214902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037214902?

Census tract 06037214902 in the Carthay neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037214902?

Median gross rent is $2,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037214902?

12.1% of residents in tract 06037214902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,444.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037214902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 33th, minority 35th, housing 70th.

Is tract 06037214902 considered part of Carthay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037214902 fall within Carthay (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037214902 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037214902 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037214902 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037214902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.