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Neighborhood · Los Angeles, CA

Carthay Eviction Risk: High

4 census tracts · pop 9,038 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10 · range 8.7–9.9

Carthay spans 4 census tracts of Los Angeles, CA and houses 9,038 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.3/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 35.0% citywide, putting Carthay 21.4% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

At $2,554 a month, rents sit 32% over what the rest of Los Angeles commands. This is a renter market: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8.7 to 9.9, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate. 4.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 161 mapped neighborhoods of Los Angeles, it ranks #81 by risk, the middle third.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $107,773.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.3
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Carthay vs Los Angeles How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.4% +61%
Los Angeles: 35.0%
Average gross rent
$2,554 +32%
Los Angeles: $1,933
Average HH income
$107,773 +34%
Los Angeles: $80,366
Poverty rate
12.9% -22%
Los Angeles: 16.6%
Renter share
66.1% +3%
Los Angeles: 64.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carthay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 8.7–9.9

Why Carthay scores 9.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Economic stress
12.9% below poverty line · Range 2.4–4.4 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–6.6 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Carthay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carthay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carthay: 9.39.3CarthayNeighborhoodParent city: 9.89.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carthay?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 8.7 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Carthay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037214800 9.9 2,835 53% $2,295
06037216301 9.4 1,439 68% $3,036
06037214902 9 2,444 53% $2,643
06037214700 8.7 2,320 58% $2,479
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 39

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carthay

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carthay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carthay?

Carthay scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carthay compare to Los Angeles overall?

Carthay scores 0.5 points lower than Los Angeles overall (9.8/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,554 vs $1,933.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carthay?

Average gross rent in Carthay is $2,554/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carthay residents are renters?

66% of Carthay households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Los Angeles). The neighborhood has 9,038 residents.
Q5

Is Carthay a high social-vulnerability area?

Carthay sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carthay have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carthay is census tract 06037214800 (score 9.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Carthay for landlords?

Carthay carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Los Angeles as a whole (9.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carthay?

Carthay has 9,380 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.8%), Other / Multiracial (9.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carthay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Los Angeles

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carthay.

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